Posted by | Alikat | in Weekly Picks

I’m going to be honest with you sports betting freaks. I hate most of this week’s match-ups! Most of these games are pretty fucking murky if you ask me. I spend way too much of my time during the week looking at numbers, trends, physical and emotional states of teams to come up with this pile of shit that we have here on Sunday. Now I know I’m supposed to be a little more politically correct, but when you have this kind of mediocrity being played out there isn’t a whole lot of value out there in my opinion. The one thing I will be going with this week are good defenses and good quarterbacks. There are a couple of Dawgs that might come through, but that’s the thing, they aren’t the kind of Dawgs we saw last week. Anyway here we go…

Just so you all know these lines come from BetOnline.com

MY HOT, MONEY PICKS

1. Ravens -3.5 @ 49ers

Trent Dilfer just lost his starting blind side protector, Jonas Jennings, due to personal reasons. Personally I hope Dilfer has a good life insurance policy because he’s going to need it against a very pissed off D in the Ravens. Billick always bounces back well after a loss.

TAKE THE RAVENS -3. BUY THE 1/2 POINT

2. Bears +3 @ Packers

The Bears are wounded and in a deep hole. Normally I would side with them on this, but if you don’t think Brett has been waiting for another shot at these guys now that he has some talent around him you’re fooling yourself. Other than the past few years Brett has always played the Bears very well and Sunday Night will be no exception!

TAKE THE PACK -3

3. Chargers +1 @ Broncos

I know all is crashing down around the Chargers right now! That’s why I’m picking them to give L.T. the ball 33 times and for him to finally break out his cape!

TAKE THE CHARGERS +1

4. Jaguars -2 @ Chiefs

I still don’t buy the Chiefs even if they are at Arrowhead Stadium. The Jags will get their running game going and are well rested to hit all over the place on Sunday!

TAKE THE JAGS -2

5. Lions +3.5 @ Redskins

The Lions I believe are overrated and they have never won (0-20) in Washington! The Skins are rested and you can believe Landry and Taylor will bust some receiver’s in the chops Sunday!

TAKE THE REDSKINS -3. Buy the 1/2 point

6. Panthers +3 @ Saints

Every trend here says to take the Panthers as they have owned the Saints in New Orleans (6-0) in the last 6 games. This is the season for the Saints though and something in me says Brees and Bush are a little too competitive to throw away the whole season just yet.

TAKE THE SAINTS -3

THE GAMES I’D PLAY IF I HAD A GUN TO MY HEAD

1. Cardinals -3.5 @ Rams

The Rams are a mess. The Cards are hot! I don’t know what to expect in this one because these are the games the Cards traditionally lose, but how in the hell can you hang your hat on the Rams.

TAKE THE CARDS -3. Buy the 1/2 point

2. Jets +3.5 @ Giants

There is something weird inside me saying the Jets are going to cover if you get them up to +4. Just a hunch because I feel like the Giants have had there 2 big games and are due for a let down.

TAKE THE JETS +4. Buy the half point

3. Dolphins +5 @ Texans

I’d love to take the Dolphins and the points here, but there is nothing in Miami that says I shouldn’t be checked for insanity if I did that. The Texans are coming off 2 losses after starting out Hot. I see them getting back on track at home.

TAKE THE TEXANS -5

4. Browns +16.5 @ Patriots

Rodney Harrison is back and he hasn’t had any physical contact since August. If I was a Brown receiver I’d be having my head on a swivel and getting down as fast as possible when going over the middle.

TAKE THE PATS -16.5

5. Falcons +8 @ Titans

I’m torn on this one because you just can’t bet against Vince Young (13-3 ATS) but he’s never had to cover this many points. The Falcons are improving, but still it’s Joey Harrington against Vince Young! Given the past 2 weeks I guess you have to go with the Dawg!

TAKE THE FALCONS +8

6. Bucs +9.5 @ Colts

Again here we have a ton of points. I hate trying to figure out the Colts though as a betting team. When I go with Peyton he’s goes south, when I think I have some points and go against him he comes out huge, go figure. This game will tell you if the Bucs are remotely for real.

TAKE THE BUCS +10. Buy the 1/2 point if you have to

7. Seahawks +6 @ Steelers

I hate to go against the Steelers, especially at home. I think they will win this game but the Seahawks do have some revenge issues from a couple of years ago.

TAKE THE SEAHAWKS +6

8. Cowboys -10 @ Bills

The Bills are decimated by injuries and have a newbie at QB in Trent Edwards, who I’m betting will replace J.P. Losman as the starter before the year is over. After all, Bill Walsh told the Bills they got a future star when they drafted this kid. Cowboys are clicking on all cylinders right now and Romo is still playing for his Retirement Account.

HERE’S the Deal– IF I GO COWBOYS I GO -9.5 and buy the half point. If I go with the Bills I wait until Monday afternoon and let that line rise to +11 and take the Bills.

IN THE INTEREST OF THE BLOG I WOULD GO WITH THE COWBOYS AT -9.5!