So here we go with Week 4 in the NFL. My sports betting G-Spot is on fire already and it’s only Friday. We’ve got some great divisional match-ups, Favre going for the Marino touchdown record, Matt Schaub returning to Atlanta, and Daunte Culpepper finally returning to a starter role with some revenge on his mind. It’s going to be a great weekend so saddle up and take in my 6 Money Picks for Sunday!
MONEY PICKS
1. Raiders +4 vs Dolphins
Daunte returns to his Florida roots with revenge on his mind! The Miami squad just isn’t very good despite what some analysts are saying about there running game coming alive. The Raiders defense of last year will show up in this game as well as Lamont Jordan running for 100 yards. Daunte sticks a couple of throws in Cam Cameron’s face and the Raiders win by 3!
Take the Raiders +4
2. Bears at Lions Over/Under 45 points
I know the Bears are really dinged up on D, but we’re talking about a team that still has a pissed of Brian Urlacher and finally a new starting QB who won’t throw int’s every other series. The Lions are still very overrated and won’t be flinging the ball around with the kind of success they think they will. The total has gone Under 5 out of the last 6 meetings in Detroit.
Take the Under! Buy a 1/2 point to 45 1/2 You might need it if something goes crazy 28-17 Bears
3. Eagles - 2.5 vs Giants
Last week was a coming out party for McNabb as he got some confidence back on that knee of his. The Giants secondary is like the Bengals, they both SUCK! The Eagles are a better coached team and 3-1 in there last 4 games at Giant stadium.
Take the Eagles -2.5 Don’t settle for -3. Buy the 1/2 point if it’s at -3
4. Steelers -6 vs Cardinals
Matt Leinart has not gotten comfortable yet in 2007 and he’s going to be facing a Defense that blitzes even more than the Ravens did last week. Big Ben is 14-8 in his career on the road. The Steelers D just has too much firepower and a much calmer QB.
Take the Steelers -5.5 Buy the 1/2 point down from -6 It’s a couple of field goals for a win instead of a push
I know all of you are going to be saying “How much Vodka has Alikat already had this Friday afternoon?” after I make this pick, but you can thank me later. Everybody in the whole world is picking the Cowboys. I admit they will most likely win this game pretty comfortably, but I don’t play games for SU WINS. I play against a number and the number the Cowboys are getting -13 is way too high for the NFL. They will drink and party a little too much this Saturday night and take the Rams lightly. They are 3-7 in the last 10 years in Game 4 of the Season. They have a Monday night game next week in Buffalo. The Rams are desperate for anything and Marc Bulger, despite 2 broken ribs, will have a good day against a weak secondary.
Take the Rams +14 Buy a 1/2 or 1 point, whatever you need to make it +14. Sometimes you have to have some AlleyGuts
6. Pats -7 at Bengals
If I’ve ever seen a Lock this is it! I would run to my sportsbook before Saturday night so you can take advantage of this cockeyed line. The last time I looked the Bengals couldn’t defend my grandmother’s post routes much less Randy Moss’s. They gave up over 50 points to Derek Anderson. What do you think Tom Brady is going to do? He is 24-1 on non-grass surfaces in his career. Get yourself some money for Christmas!
Take the Pats -6 1/2 Buy the 1/2 point just in case something goes crazy so you win instead of push!
GAMES I’D PLAY IF A GUN WAS TO MY HEAD
1. Jets -3.5 at Bills
The Bills need something positive to happen in 2007. They are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 games against the Jets in Buffalo. It’s hard to win with a Rookie’s 1st start as it looks like Trent Edwards will get the nod, but they are playing the Jets and you just can’t really trust your money with Chad Pennington.
Take the Bills +3.5 I’d stay as far away from this game as I could!
Favre is going to break a couple of records on Sunday. One will be Dan Marino’s all-time touchdown mark and the other will be George Blanda’s all-time interception mark. He needs just 3 int’s to get that and the Vikings have owned Brett in the Metrodome over his career. Favre is just 5-10 lifetime in the Dome. I love watching this divisional rivalry! I expect the Vikings to be jacked up and put loads of pressure on Favre since he has no running game. Darren Sharper will get a pick or 2 and the Vikings will win on a last second touchdown by Adrian Petersen!
Take the Vikings +1.5 in the upset special of the day!
3. Broncos +9.5 at Colts
The Colts have owned the Broncos the past several years and I don’t see things changing here this Sunday. Jay Cutler is banged up some with a sore ankle and the Broncos defense is just not up to speed with the new schemes they have implemented this year. It’s tough to bet on the Colts at this price but I have to go…
Take the Colts -9.5
4. Ravens -4 at Browns
This game could be a blowout or just plain ugly and decided by a field goal. The Browns are actually 3-0 ATS at home against the Ravens, go figure. I just don’t like the ability of the Ravens offense to ever consistently score enough points to hammer home victories ATS when they are favored. Jamal Lewis did make some comments about the holes being bigger in Cleveland than they were in Baltimore, so you know that doesn’t sit well with Ray Lewis and the gang. In the end I’d have to go…
Take the Ravens -4 Again I’d stay away from this game!
Matt Schaub returns to wreak some revenge on the team that discarded him for Michael Vick. BTW- Where is Vick these days? Oh yeah, he’s smoking some joints getting in shape for the Big Joint come this winter! I like the looks of the Texans with their Defensive Line gelling and the special teams playing excellent. They are beat up coming into Atlanta with both Andre Johnson and Ahman Green out with injuries. The Falcons are starting to get their ground game going and they are getting some pressure on the QB. I like Schaub to come in and stick it to the Falcons.
Take the Texans -2.5 Buy the 1/2 point to get it at -2.5
6. Chiefs +11.5 at Chargers
The Chargers have to save their season and get L.T. the ball. The Chiefs have no offense and will get buried by a team that will ignore Norv Turner and take things into there own hands.
Take the Chargers -11.5 I’d stay away from this one as it’s just so many points in the NFL especially for a divisional game
7. Seahawks -1.5 at 49ers
The 49ers got the Seahawks twice last year and the NFC West is just plain crazy. This is yet another divisional game with playoff implications. To me this game is just a coin flip as I think the Seahawks should get some revenge for last year, but the 49ers seem to come alive when they play this team as they are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 at San Fran. I just think this game comes down to who has the ball last.
Take the 49ers +1.5 at home! I’d just lay off this game and enjoy the show!
8. Bucs +3 at Panthers
The Panthers will start David Carr at QB for the injured Jake Delhomme. I personally think this gives them a little more juice to there offense. The Bucs have struggled in Carolina, 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games, so after 2 wins in a row I see the Bucs going down to a better defensive team.
Take the Panthers -3 These games in the NFC South always come down to a field goal so if you must bet this game I would buy the 1/2 point and get the Panthers at -2.5
9. Bears -2.5 at Lions
I’m betting the under in this game for 1 of my Money Picks but I also think the Bears will rebound and win this game by a field goal or more. I know the Sexy Pick here is the Lions because everybody seems to think they have changed and know how to win now. The Bears have too much pride and have to be looking at staying close to the Packers. The Lions will not be able to withstand the pressure the Bears will bring despite missing 5 starters on the D side of the ball.
Take the Bears -2.5
So there you have it sports betting freaks of the world! Enjoy the weekend and get your Money On!
Bet Ya–
ALIKAT
Comments