If your money is on the line, always, always bet on Tom Brady. I know - all you sports betting know-it-alls in the Midwest are screaming, “What the hell are you talking about? Peyton Manning is the best.”
Not so fast there all you two minute pump chumps. While Peyton finally did get his little doggy treat of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy last year, it still doesn’t erase the fact that it was his first and only big win at any level in his entire career. I personally think last year’s playoffs for the Colts took on the look of their towel boy dropping acid in their opponents Gatorade! I mean come on, the Ravens just don’t look like that at home and the Patriots don’t EVER BLOW LEADS like they did in the RCA Dome.
That all being said, I’m here to dismiss the idea that he’s the greatest quarterback of his generation, at least where sports betting is concerned (see, I haven’t entirely lost my mind).
If you want to win money consistently, you will bet on Tom Brady much more often than Peyton Manning. Brady’s middle name should be “I win money for sports betting fans.” Big games, little games, division games, non-conference games it doesn’t matter. His overall against the spread (ATS) record is as follows:
Home 32-18-3
Away 33-18-1
Favorite 42-27-3
Dog 22-11-1
Off a Win 46-29-3
Off a Loss 18-7
Best Role: Home Dog 6-1
Worst Role: Road Dog 15-10-1
Now compare those money making stats with Mr. Manning, the quarterback-cum-comedian’s, ATS record:
Home 26-27
Away 27-24-2
Favorite 44-38-1
Dog 9-11-1
Off a Win 38-32-1
Off a Loss 12-18
Best Role: Road favorite 17-11-1
Worst Role: Road Dog 9-11-1
While Peyton and the Colts may be fun to watch go up and down the field, when it comes to making money for you, the sports bettor, they just don’t give you enough of an edge to make consistent profits. Part of this is due to the fact that since they are so beloved, their lines get inflated 1 to 3 points most weekends. Also, that defense that magically showed up out of nowhere last year in the playoffs, usually can’t stop anything over the course of the regular season.
If you can get the Colts on the road and favored at -6 or less, feel free to take a few shots on them but other than that, stay away. Bet on Mr. Tom Brady instead. As you can see, even in his worst role (and I don’t mean his attempt at SNL acting) he’s winning at a 66% clip. Peyton maybe the much better actor of the two, but Brady brings home the bacon every week!
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